Political prediction markets aggregate real money from thousands of traders, producing a continuous probability signal that consistently outperforms public polling. Texans can legally trade them on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Markets available
- US presidential election (next cycle and primaries)
- House and Senate control, individual seat races
- Texas governor, lieutenant governor, AG races
- Supreme Court decisions and confirmations
- Policy outcomes: budget, tariffs, regulation
- Foreign elections impacting US markets
Why political markets matter
Prediction markets called the 2024 election earlier and more accurately than every major polling aggregator. For Texans following state and national politics, they're the cleanest signal available — and they pay you if you're right.