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Political markets
Bet on politics
After Kalshi's 2024 federal court win, election event contracts are explicitly legal for Texans. Trade presidential, congressional, and Texas-specific races on CFTC-regulated exchanges.
Political prediction markets aggregate real money from thousands of traders, producing a continuous probability signal that consistently outperforms public polling. Texans can legally trade them on Kalshi and Polymarket.
Markets available
US presidential election (next cycle and primaries)
House and Senate control, individual seat races
Texas governor, lieutenant governor, AG races
Supreme Court decisions and confirmations
Policy outcomes: budget, tariffs, regulation
Foreign elections impacting US markets
Why political markets matter
Prediction markets called the 2024 election earlier and more accurately than every major polling aggregator. For Texans following state and national politics, they're the cleanest signal available — and they pay you if you're right.
You cannot place state-licensed bets on US elections in Texas. You can trade CFTC-regulated election contracts on Kalshi after its 2024 court win, and on Polymarket's US-licensed entity. Both are federally regulated derivatives.