Why do weather prediction markets matter?

They're a hedge for farmers, energy traders, event organizers, and anyone exposed to Texas weather. They also produce some of the most accurate public weather forecasts available.

Can I trade hurricane markets from Texas?

Yes — Kalshi lists Atlantic hurricane season contracts including named storm counts, US landfall, and specific storm tracks. Texans on the Gulf Coast use these to hedge real exposure.

Weather markets

Trade Texas weather

From Gulf hurricanes to August heat domes, Kalshi's CFTC-regulated weather contracts let Texans hedge real exposure or speculate on extreme events.

Weather hits Texas harder than almost any state — hurricanes on the Gulf, ice storms in the Hill Country, 110°+ summers from Laredo to Lubbock. Weather prediction markets give farmers, energy traders, event organizers, and curious Texans a way to put a price on what's coming.

Texas weather markets

Hurricane season: Named storm counts, US landfalls, specific track and intensity contracts.
Monthly temperature: Austin, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio — high/low temperature ranges.
Heat extremes: Days above 100°F or 110°F in TX metros.
Rainfall: Monthly precipitation totals by city.
Winter storms: Snowfall, ice events, freeze warnings.

Trade on Kalshi

Pick your venue

The three legal prediction platforms Texans actually use. Full comparison →

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contracts

CFTC-regulated (USA)
Available in Texas
Best for: Sports, weather, politics, economics

Trade on Kalshi

Polymarket

Largest global prediction market

QCX LLC (CFTC-regulated exchange)
Returning to US markets — check eligibility
Best for: Deep liquidity, politics & culture

Trade on Polymarket

Rebet

Social prediction app (sweepstakes model)

Sweepstakes model
Available in Texas
Best for: Mobile, social betting, sports

Trade on Rebet

Frequently asked questions

Hurricane landfall (highly relevant to the Gulf Coast), monthly temperature contracts for Austin, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio, rainfall totals, snowfall, and major storm tracking. Kalshi is the leading venue.