TRADE TEXAS WEATHER
From Gulf hurricanes to August heat domes, Kalshi's CFTC-regulated weather contracts let Texans hedge real exposure or speculate on extreme events.
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Weather hits Texas harder than almost any state — hurricanes on the Gulf, ice storms in the Hill Country, 110°+ summers from Laredo to Lubbock. Weather prediction markets give farmers, energy traders, event organizers, and curious Texans a way to put a price on what's coming.
Texas weather markets
- Hurricane season: Named storm counts, US landfalls, specific track and intensity contracts.
- Monthly temperature: Austin, Dallas, Houston, San Antonio — high/low temperature ranges.
- Heat extremes: Days above 100°F or 110°F in TX metros.
- Rainfall: Monthly precipitation totals by city.
- Winter storms: Snowfall, ice events, freeze warnings.
Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
→ Deep dive: How to trade Texas weather markets (heat, hurricanes, ERCOT)
Weather markets by city
- Astros, Texans, Rockets, heat and ERCOT demand
- Cowboys, Rangers, Mavericks, Stars and DFW weather
- Longhorns, the US Grand Prix at COTA and Capitol politics
- Spurs, Wembanyama awards and daily temperatures
Pick your venue
Four CFTC-regulated exchanges that accept Texans (status in Texas: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Full comparison →
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated event contracts — trade $25, get $25
- CFTC-regulated (USA)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports, weather, politics, economics
ProphetX
Your sports prediction market — trade $50, get $75
- CFTC-designated contract market
- 49 states + D.C. (not Nevada), including Texas
- Best for: Sports-only trading, no-vig peer-to-peer pricing
Polymarket
Largest prediction market — deposit $10, get a $25 trading bonus
- Polymarket Clearing (CFTC-regulated exchange)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Deep liquidity, sports, politics & culture
OG (Crypto.com)
Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM
- CFTC-regulated DCM (via Crypto.com Derivatives North America)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports event contracts, mobile-first UX
Frequently asked questions
What weather markets can Texans trade?
Hurricane landfall (highly relevant to the Gulf Coast), monthly temperature contracts for Austin, Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio, rainfall totals, snowfall, and major storm tracking. Kalshi is the leading venue.
Why do weather prediction markets matter?
They're a hedge for farmers, energy traders, event organizers, and anyone exposed to Texas weather. They also produce some of the most accurate public weather forecasts available.
Can I trade hurricane markets from Texas?
Yes — Kalshi lists Atlantic hurricane season contracts including named storm counts, US landfall, and specific storm tracks. Texans on the Gulf Coast use these to hedge real exposure.
21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.