Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place

Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place: legality, fees, taxes, sign-up bonuses, election odds, and weather markets for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.

Updated

Frequently asked questions

Which guide should a Texan read first?

Start with 'Are prediction markets legal in Texas?' for the legal picture, then 'How to use Kalshi from Texas' to open and fund an account. Those two cover everything you need before your first trade.

Are these guides specific to Texas?

Yes. Every guide is written for traders physically in Texas: state tax treatment, which platforms accept Texans, Texas bank funding by ACH, and Texas-specific markets like ERCOT, hurricanes and the 2026 state ballot.

How often are the guides updated?

Each guide carries a last-updated date and is re-verified against the platform's live fee schedule, funding options and market list. The most recent site-wide verification pass was August 7, 2026.

Are the guides available in Spanish?

Yes. Most guides have a Spanish version at a /es/ URL with its own native-language title, and every page has a language switcher in the header.

Recently updated

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F1 US GRAND PRIX AUSTIN 2026 ODDS

October 23 to 25 at Circuit of the Americas. The session times in Central Time, where the championship stands, and how to trade F1 race and title contracts from Texas.

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Sports betting in Texas: what Texans can use in 2026

Traditional sportsbooks are still illegal in Texas. CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges accept Texans (status: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Here's the full picture — and what Texans actually use.

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Astros & Rangers 2026: How the Season Ended

The Astros won the AL West; the Rangers finished a game back. Houston then lost the Wild Card Series to the White Sox. What happened and the 2027 markets Texans can trade.

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NOVIG PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

Novig is a peer-to-peer sports prediction app. New users who deposit $10 get $50 in trade credits with code TXPREDICTS.

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REBET PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

Rebet is a social sweepstakes sports app. New users get a 100% match on their first purchase, up to $100, with code TXPREDICTS.

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OG PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

OG is Crypto.com's CFTC-regulated prediction-market app. New users who trade $25 get $50 in rewards. Here's how Texans claim it.

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WHAT IS A PREDICTION MARKET?

A plain-English guide for Texans: Yes/No contracts, implied probability, settlement rules, fees — and how an exchange differs from a sportsbook.

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FED RATE DECISIONS ON KALSHI

A Texas reader's guide to Fed decision contracts: what past prices actually measured, how entry price changes risk, and why the rules matter.

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IS PROPHETX LEGAL IN TEXAS?

Short answer: yes. ProphetX is available in 49 states plus D.C., Texas included, as a CFTC-registered prediction market — here's the framework that makes that true in Texas.

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PROPHETX TAXES FOR TEXANS

Texas takes nothing. The IRS does. Here's the practical version for anyone trading sports contracts from Dallas, Houston, Austin or San Antonio.

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PROPHETX FEES EXPLAINED

There's no vig inside a ProphetX price. Here's where the cost actually sits, and what it means for the size you trade.

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