Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place
Legality, comparisons, election odds, weather trades — everything we've written for Texan traders.
Sports
Cowboys, Texans, Astros, A&M, F1 Austin and the college football playoff.
NFL Week 1 & 2 2026 odds: Cowboys & Texans
Sept 13 & 20 openers, live game-winner markets, key players.
Cowboys & Texans Super Bowl 2026 odds
Live Kalshi & Polymarket prices for both Texas teams.
Super Bowl LXI odds from Texas
Feb 7, 2027 championship market — Cowboys, Texans & field.
Texas vs Texas A&M 2026 odds
Nov 27 at Kyle Field — game-winner market & CFP knock-on.
Astros & Rangers World Series 2026 odds
MLB postseason contracts for both Texas clubs.
CFP National Championship 2026 odds
12-team playoff, Texas & A&M paths, live prices.
Texas A&M football 2026 odds
Aggies win totals, SEC and CFP contracts on Kalshi.
F1 US Grand Prix Austin 2026 odds
COTA weekend Oct 23–25, live driver-winner prices.
World Cup 2026 in Texas
Houston & Dallas matches + how to trade them.
Politics
Texas 2026 ballot: Governor, Senate, Comptroller, Primary and live returns.
Texas Governor 2026 odds
Live odds on Abbott and the field.
Texas Senate 2026 odds
Cornyn and challengers, priced.
Texas Primary 2026 odds
March 3 ballot, live Senate/Governor/AG odds.
Texas Comptroller 2026 odds
Open-seat race after Hegar's exit.
Texas election results 2026
Where to watch live returns + prediction-market accuracy.
Is Ted Cruz up for reelection in 2026?
Short answer: no. Here's the seat that IS up.
Will Texas secede?
What the markets actually say.
Weather
Hurricane season, heat domes, ERCOT emergencies and city-temp markets.
2026 Atlantic hurricane season Texas
NOAA outlook + Kalshi landfall and named-storm markets.
Texas Heat Dome 2026 — live odds
When the dome breaks, plus live temperature markets for 4 Texas cities.
Trading Texas weather markets
Hurricanes, heat, rainfall — Kalshi's weather book.
ERCOT grid emergency markets 2026
Conservation alerts, EEA, peak demand — how Kalshi resolves.
Platform how-tos
Kalshi, Polymarket and OG by Crypto.com: sign up, fund, trade, cash out.
Kalshi vs Polymarket vs Crypto.com
Side-by-side: regulation, deposits, fees, coverage.
Deep dive: which to pick first
Long-form decision guide for new Texan traders.
How to use Kalshi from Texas
Sign up, fund, trade, withdraw — in under 10 minutes.
How does Kalshi work?
Yes/No shares, order book, payouts, fees — in plain English.
Kalshi fees explained
Scaled per-trade fees in plain English with worked examples.
How to withdraw from Kalshi
ACH cash-out in 1–3 business days, free, no minimum.
Kalshi taxes for Texans
1099, federal-only, and how Polymarket differs.
Kalshi promo code TXPREDICTS
Trade $25 and get $25 — how to claim it from Texas.
How to use Polymarket from Texas
Email signup, USDC deposit, first trade — under 10 minutes.
Polymarket fees explained
0% protocol fee + gas — real all-in cost vs Kalshi.
Polymarket taxes for Texans
No 1099 — how to self-report USDC profits federally.
Polymarket promo code TXPREDICTS
Deposit $10, get a $50 trading bonus on the iOS app.
How to use OG by Crypto.com from Texas
Fiat ACH, KYC, first sports contract — under 10 minutes.
OG by Crypto.com fees explained
Per-contract commission on a CFTC-regulated DCM.
OG by Crypto.com taxes (Texas)
1099 issued. Federal-only. USD-settled.
OG by Crypto.com sign-up bonus (Texas)
How to claim, wagering rules, vs Kalshi.
Local Texas — is it legal?
The Texas-specific legality questions Google keeps asking.
Are prediction markets legal in Texas?
The umbrella legal guide for Texan traders.
Is Kalshi legal in Texas?
Yes — here's the CFTC framework that makes it legal.
Is Polymarket legal in Texas?
What changed in 2025 and how to access it.
Is Robinhood Prediction Markets legal in Texas?
Yes — CFTC-regulated via ForecastEx. How it compares to Kalshi.
Is FanDuel legal in Texas?
No — and what to use instead.
Is DraftKings legal in Texas?
No — the legal CFTC alternative.
Is PrizePicks legal in Texas?
The DFS gray area and a legal swap.
Texas sports betting: legal alternatives
Why event contracts are the only fully legal path.
Entertainment
Awards shows and pop-culture markets Texans trade.
Frequently asked questions
Start with 'Are prediction markets legal in Texas?' for the legal picture, then 'How to use Kalshi from Texas' to open and fund an account. Those two cover everything you need before your first trade.