Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place
Legality, comparisons, election odds, weather trades — everything we've written for Texan traders.
Sports
Cowboys, Texans, Astros, A&M, F1 Austin and the college football playoff.
Cowboys & Texans Super Bowl 2026 odds
Live Kalshi & Polymarket prices for both Texas teams.
CFP National Championship 2026 odds
12-team playoff, Texas & A&M paths, live prices.
Texas A&M football 2026 odds
Aggies win totals, SEC and CFP contracts on Kalshi.
F1 US Grand Prix Austin 2026 odds
COTA weekend Oct 23–25, live driver-winner prices.
World Cup 2026 in Texas
Houston & Dallas matches + how to trade them.
Politics
Texas 2026 ballot: Governor, Senate, Comptroller, Primary and live returns.
Texas Governor 2026 odds
Live odds on Abbott and the field.
Texas Senate 2026 odds
Cornyn and challengers, priced.
Texas Primary 2026 odds
March 3 ballot, live Senate/Governor/AG odds.
Texas Comptroller 2026 odds
Open-seat race after Hegar's exit.
Texas election results 2026
Where to watch live returns + prediction-market accuracy.
Is Ted Cruz up for reelection in 2026?
Short answer: no. Here's the seat that IS up.
Will Texas secede?
What the markets actually say.
Weather
Hurricane season, heat domes, ERCOT emergencies and city-temp markets.
2026 Atlantic hurricane season Texas
NOAA outlook + Kalshi landfall and named-storm markets.
Texas Heat Dome 2026 — live odds
When the dome breaks, plus live temperature markets for 4 Texas cities.
Trading Texas weather markets
Hurricanes, heat, rainfall — Kalshi's weather book.
ERCOT grid emergency markets 2026
Conservation alerts, EEA, peak demand — how Kalshi resolves.
Platform how-tos
Kalshi, Polymarket and OG by Crypto.com: sign up, fund, trade, cash out.
Kalshi vs Polymarket vs Crypto.com
Side-by-side: regulation, deposits, fees, coverage.
Deep dive: which to pick first
Long-form decision guide for new Texan traders.
How to use Kalshi from Texas
Sign up, fund, trade, withdraw — in under 10 minutes.
How does Kalshi work?
Yes/No shares, order book, payouts, fees — in plain English.
Kalshi fees explained
Scaled per-trade fees in plain English with worked examples.
How to withdraw from Kalshi
ACH cash-out in 1–3 business days, free, no minimum.
Kalshi taxes for Texans
1099, federal-only, and how Polymarket differs.
Kalshi sign-up bonus (Texas)
How to claim the deposit-match without voiding it.
How to use Polymarket from Texas
Email signup, USDC deposit, first trade — under 10 minutes.
Polymarket fees explained
0% protocol fee + gas — real all-in cost vs Kalshi.
Polymarket taxes for Texans
No 1099 — how to self-report USDC profits federally.
Polymarket sign-up promos (Texas)
Trader rewards vs Kalshi's deposit-match.
How to use OG by Crypto.com from Texas
Fiat ACH, KYC, first sports contract — under 10 minutes.
OG by Crypto.com fees explained
Per-contract commission on a CFTC-regulated DCM.
OG by Crypto.com taxes (Texas)
1099 issued. Federal-only. USD-settled.
OG by Crypto.com sign-up bonus (Texas)
How to claim, wagering rules, vs Kalshi.
Local Texas — is it legal?
The Texas-specific legality questions Google keeps asking.
Are prediction markets legal in Texas?
The umbrella legal guide for Texan traders.
Is Kalshi legal in Texas?
Yes — here's the CFTC framework that makes it legal.
Is Polymarket legal in Texas?
What changed in 2025 and how to access it.
Is Robinhood Prediction Markets legal in Texas?
Yes — CFTC-regulated via ForecastEx. How it compares to Kalshi.
Is FanDuel legal in Texas?
No — and what to use instead.
Is DraftKings legal in Texas?
No — the legal CFTC alternative.
Is PrizePicks legal in Texas?
The DFS gray area and a legal swap.
Texas sports betting: legal alternatives
Why event contracts are the only fully legal path.
Entertainment
Awards shows and pop-culture markets Texans trade.