Trade thefuture of Texas.
The independent Texan's guide to prediction markets. Sports, politics, weather, and more — on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com. Real money, real markets, fully legal.
Get started in 3 steps
No sportsbook. No VPN. Legal for Texans 21+ under CFTC oversight — most traders are live inside 10 minutes.
Sign up in 60 seconds
Email, phone, and SSN for KYC. Kalshi and Polymarket both accept Texans 21+ with a valid ID.
Fund with a Texas bank
ACH from any US bank on Kalshi (free, instant). USDC from a crypto wallet or debit card on Polymarket.
Trade Yes / No shares
Every contract prices between $0.01 and $0.99. Winning shares pay $1. No sportsbook vig — you trade against other users.
CFTC-regulated, USD deposits, 1099 at year-end. Full walkthrough
Featured Texas markets
Sample of the most-traded contracts relevant to Texans this season.
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2026 playoffs?
Will a Category 4+ hurricane hit Texas in 2026?
Will Greg Abbott run for re-election in 2026?
Will Austin hit 110°F at least 5 days in 2026?
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
Will TX go for the GOP in 2028?
Sample markets shown for illustration. Live prices and volumes are at the linked exchanges.
Pick your venue
The three legal prediction platforms Texans actually use. Full comparison →
CFTC-regulated event contracts
- CFTC-regulated (USA)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports, weather, politics, economics
Largest global prediction market
- QCX LLC (CFTC-regulated exchange)
- Returning to US markets — check eligibility
- Best for: Deep liquidity, politics & culture
Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM
- CFTC-regulated DCM (via Crypto.com Derivatives North America)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports event contracts, mobile-first UX
Grab a bonus while you're here
Independently verified against each platform's terms. Always read the fine print before opting in.
Deposit match up to $100
New Kalshi accounts — 1:1 match on your first deposit, released as you trade.
Trader rewards on volume
Weekly USDC rebates scaled to your traded volume — no deposit gimmick.
OG by Crypto.com sign-up bonus
First-deposit match on the CFTC-regulated Sports app. Wagering rules apply.
We may earn a commission if you sign up through these links — it never changes the offer you receive. 21+ only.
Browse markets
Texas-relevant prediction markets across every category.
Frequently asked questions
Yes. CFTC-regulated event contract exchanges like Kalshi, Polymarket (via its US entity QCX), and Crypto.com Sports are legally available to Texas residents 21+. All three operate as federal derivatives products, not state-licensed sportsbooks. Traditional sports betting on bookmakers like FanDuel and DraftKings remains illegal in Texas as of 2026.