Texas Prediction Markets

Texas prediction markets: what Texans can trade in 2026

Trade the future of Texas.

The independent Texan's guide to prediction markets. Sports, politics, weather and more on Polymarket, ProphetX, Kalshi, and Crypto.com. Real money, real markets, federally regulated.

Kalshi: Trade $25 and Get $25! · code TXPREDICTS

21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence the odds, market selection, or editorial analysis.

New to Texas prediction markets?

Get started in 3 steps

No sportsbook. No VPN. Status in Texas: Available (as of 3 October 2026) — most traders are live inside 10 minutes. Kalshi's minimum age is 18; we recommend 21+.

01

Sign up in 60 seconds

Email, phone, and SSN for KYC. Kalshi and Polymarket US both accept Texas residents with a valid ID (minimum age 18 on both; we recommend 21+).

02

Fund with a Texas bank

ACH from any US bank on Kalshi (free, instant). Dollars in the Polymarket US app.

03

Trade Yes / No shares

Every contract prices between $0.01 and $0.99. Winning shares pay $1. No sportsbook vig — you trade against other users.

Start with Kalshi

CFTC-regulated, USD deposits, downloadable P&L statement; status in Texas: Available (as of 3 October 2026). Full walkthrough →

Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

New here? Start with What is a prediction market? Details, court rulings and the change-log: Is Kalshi legal in Texas?

Featured Texas markets

The most-traded contracts relevant to Texans right now, at the day's prices.

Prices as of Oct 24, 2026

Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

Polymarket prices shown are from its global exchange; the US app may list different markets.

21+ · T&Cs apply · Terms

Kalshi: Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

Polymarket US: 18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

Pick your venue

Four CFTC-regulated exchanges that accept Texans (status in Texas: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Full comparison →

  • Kalshi

    CFTC-designated exchange for event contracts

    • Designated by the CFTC in November 2020
    • Web, iPhone and Android
    • Best for: sports, weather, politics and economics
    Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)

  • ProphetX

    CFTC-designated exchange, on web and mobile

    • Designated by the CFTC in June 2026
    • Web and mobile app
    • Best for: sports-only trading at peer-to-peer prices
    Trade on ProphetX (opens in a new tab)

  • Polymarket US

    The US Polymarket app, run on a CFTC-designated exchange

    • Designated by the CFTC in July 2025
    • The Polymarket US app, for US accounts
    • Best for: deep liquidity in sports, politics and culture
    Trade on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)

  • OG

    OG by Crypto.com: event contracts on a CFTC-regulated exchange

    • Offered by Nadex, a CFTC-regulated exchange
    • Web and mobile app
    • Best for: sports event contracts on a phone
    Trade on OG (opens in a new tab)

Our reviews: Kalshi · ProphetX · Polymarket US · OG

Last checked October 21, 2026

Grab a bonus while you're here

Independently verified against each platform's terms. Always read the fine print before opting in.

  • Kalshi

    Trade $25 and Get $25!

    code TXPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C.

    Trade on Kalshi (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.

    Bonus guide →

  • ProphetX

    Trade $50, Earn $75!

    code TXPREDICTS · 49 states + D.C.

    Trade on ProphetX (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    New users only. T&Cs apply. ProphetX's minimum age is 18 (or the local age of majority if higher); we recommend 21+. Not available in Nevada. Trading involves risk.

    Bonus guide →

  • Polymarket US

    Deposit $10 get a $25 Trading Bonus!

    code TXPREDICTS · 49 states + D.C.

    Trade on Polymarket US (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.

    Bonus guide →

  • OG

    Trade $25 Get $50 in Rewards! (New users only)

    code TXPREDICTS · 42 states + D.C.

    Trade on OG (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    Paid partnership with OG. Terms and conditions apply. Trading derivatives involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Availability subject to jurisdictional limitations. For more information, visit: OG.com.

    Bonus guide →

  • Novig

    Deposit $10 Get $50 in Trade Credits!

    code TXPREDICTS · 47 states + D.C.

    Trade on Novig (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    Restrictions & requirements apply. Not available in all states. 21+. Event contract trading involves risk & is not appropriate for all. Consider if it's appropriate for you in light of financial circumstances. See novig.com/terms for information.

    Promo code guide →

  • Rebet

    Get a 100% purchase match up to $100!

    code TXPREDICTS · 38 states + D.C.

    Trade on Rebet (opens in a new tab)
    Terms →

    Rebet is a social sweepstakes platform. No purchase necessary. Eligibility and age requirements apply; not available in all states. Void where prohibited. See Rebet's Sweepstakes Rules for details.

    Promo code guide →

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence the odds, market selection, or editorial analysis.

Browse markets

Texas-relevant prediction markets across every category.

Sports

NFL, NBA, MLB, NCAA — Cowboys, Texans, Mavs.

Politics

Elections, Congress, Texas governor, policy.

Weather

Gulf hurricanes, heat domes, rainfall, snow.

Entertainment

Box office, awards, pop culture moments.

Explore by city

Houston

Astros, Texans, Rockets, heat and ERCOT demand

Dallas

Cowboys, Rangers, Mavericks, Stars and DFW weather

Austin

Longhorns, the US Grand Prix at COTA and Capitol politics

San Antonio

Spurs, Wembanyama awards and daily temperatures

Fresh from the prediction-market beat

Updated

Recently updated

Guides

F1 US GRAND PRIX AUSTIN 2026 ODDS

October 23 to 25 at Circuit of the Americas. The session times in Central Time, where the championship stands, and how to trade F1 race and title contracts from Texas.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

Sports betting in Texas: what Texans can use in 2026

Traditional sportsbooks are still illegal in Texas. CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges accept Texans (status: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Here's the full picture — and what Texans actually use.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

Astros & Rangers 2026: How the Season Ended

The Astros won the AL West; the Rangers finished a game back. Houston then lost the Wild Card Series to the White Sox. What happened and the 2027 markets Texans can trade.

Catie Di Stefano

Latest

Guides

NOVIG PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

Novig is a peer-to-peer sports prediction app. New users who deposit $10 get $50 in trade credits with code TXPREDICTS.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

REBET PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

Rebet is a social sweepstakes sports app. New users get a 100% match on their first purchase, up to $100, with code TXPREDICTS.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

OG PROMO CODE TXPREDICTS

OG is Crypto.com's CFTC-regulated prediction-market app. New users who trade $25 get $50 in rewards. Here's how Texans claim it.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

WHAT IS A PREDICTION MARKET?

A plain-English guide for Texans: Yes/No contracts, implied probability, settlement rules, fees — and how an exchange differs from a sportsbook.

Catie Di Stefano

Guides

FED RATE DECISIONS ON KALSHI

A Texas reader's guide to Fed decision contracts: what past prices actually measured, how entry price changes risk, and why the rules matter.

Catie Di Stefano

Frequently asked questions

Are prediction markets legal in Texas?

Available (as of October 3, 2026). CFTC-regulated event contract exchanges like Polymarket (via its US entity QCX), ProphetX, Kalshi, and Crypto.com Sports are legally available to Texas residents (minimum age 18 on Polymarket US, Kalshi and Crypto.com; 18 or the local age of majority if higher on ProphetX; we recommend 21+). They all operate as federal derivatives products, not state-licensed sportsbooks. Traditional sports betting on bookmakers like FanDuel and DraftKings remains illegal in Texas as of 2026.

What is the best prediction market for Texans?

Kalshi is the most straightforward option for Texans — CFTC-regulated, USD deposits, and broad market coverage across sports, politics, weather and economics (status in Texas: Available, as of 3 October 2026). Polymarket offers the deepest liquidity globally. Crypto.com is the easiest mobile, social-first option.

How do prediction markets make money for traders?

You buy 'Yes' or 'No' shares in an event between $0.01 and $0.99. If your side is correct when the event resolves, each share pays out $1. The difference between your buy price and $1 is your profit.

Do I have to pay taxes on prediction market winnings in Texas?

Yes. Profits from event contracts are taxable income at the federal level. Texas has no state income tax, but you must report winnings to the IRS. Consult a tax professional.

Can I bet on Texas football games on prediction markets?

Yes — Kalshi and Polymarket both list markets on NFL, NCAA football, and other US sports. You're trading contracts on outcomes, not placing traditional sportsbook bets.

Make your call, Texas

Compare the four exchanges, read our reviews, or start with the basics.

Compare platforms Reviews All guides Trade responsibly

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence the odds, market selection, or editorial analysis.