Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
21+ only · Trade responsiblyCFTC-regulated venuesEvent contracts — not gambling
Explainer · Kalshi

How does Kalshi actually work?

A CFTC-regulated exchange for Yes/No contracts on real-world events. You trade against other users, not a house.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Written by
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Fact-checkedUpdated

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence editorial rankings, market selection, or analysis.

The one-sentence version: Kalshi lets you buy a Yes or No share in a question like "Will the Cowboys win the NFC East?" — if you're right when the season ends, each share pays $1; if you're wrong, it pays $0. Your entry price is your risk.

The Yes/No mechanic

Every Kalshi market resolves to Yes or No. Prices trade between $0.01 and $0.99, and they add up: if Yes is at $0.62, No is at $0.38. Think of the price as a live probability — $0.62 means the market thinks the event is 62% likely.

You can buy either side. Buy Yes at $0.62 and hold to resolution: if the event happens, you get $1 back per share ($0.38 profit). If it doesn't, you get $0 (lose your $0.62). Buy No at $0.38 and it flips.

It's an exchange, not a sportsbook

Every trade on Kalshi matches you against another trader, not against the house. If you buy Yes at $0.62, somebody else is selling Yes to you at that price (equivalently, buying No at $0.38). Kalshi runs the order book and settles the contracts — it doesn't take a directional position.

The practical difference vs a sportsbook: there's no vig baked into the line. A -110 sportsbook line costs you about 4.5% just to enter. On Kalshi, you pay a transparent per-contract fee (typically well under 1% at retail size) and get the mid-market price.

Selling before resolution

You don't have to wait for the event. If you bought Yes at $0.30 and the price runs to $0.70, you can sell into the order book for a $0.40-per-share profit right now. This is the biggest structural difference from a traditional bet — Kalshi is a real market with real live prices you can exit at any time.

How Kalshi handles fees, payouts, and taxes

  • Fees: Scaled per-trade fee shown on the ticket before you confirm — peaks around 0.7% one-way.
  • Payouts: Automatic on resolution. Winners get $1 per share; losers get $0. Cash lands in your USD balance instantly.
  • Withdrawals: Free ACH to your linked US bank, 1–3 business days.
  • Taxes: Kalshi issues a 1099 in January. Texans owe federal only — no state income tax, no state gambling tax.

What Kalshi markets cover

Anything a regulator will let them list: NFL, NBA, MLB, and NCAA games; presidential and Senate races (post their 2024 court win); CPI and Fed rate decisions; hurricane landfalls and daily temperatures; Oscars; and hundreds more. See our weather, politics, and sports guides for live examples.

Try it with $10

Legal for Texans 21+, CFTC-regulated, USD-settled. See the full 5-minute walkthrough in our Texas how-to.

Sources & references

More: Fees explained · How to withdraw · Taxes (Texas)

Frequently asked questions

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange where you buy Yes or No shares in a real-world question between $0.01 and $0.99. If your side is right when the event resolves, each share pays $1. The difference between what you paid and $1 is your profit.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years working with online gambling across some of the most regulated and competitive markets in the world.

Starting at Betsson Group in Malta in 2011, she moved through VIP management, CRM, gamification and marketing leadership across European and North American operations. Catie was a licensed consultancy for Hard Rock Casino in New Jersey, where she held a DGE vendor license and owned the online CRM program from launch day in 2018.

  • 15 years in regulated online gambling
  • Held a New Jersey DGE vendor license
  • Launched Hard Rock NJ online CRM program (2018)
  • Speaker/moderator across NA, EU & Africa
  • Native-level Spanish speaker, based in Spain
  • Founder, Campaign Discovery System (2026)
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