The one-sentence version: Kalshi lets you buy a Yes or No share in a question like "Will the Cowboys win the NFC East?" — if you're right when the season ends, each share pays $1; if you're wrong, it pays $0. Your entry price is your risk.
The Yes/No mechanic
Every Kalshi market resolves to Yes or No. Prices trade between $0.01 and $0.99, and they add up: if Yes is at $0.62, No is at $0.38. Think of the price as a live probability — $0.62 means the market thinks the event is 62% likely.
You can buy either side. Buy Yes at $0.62 and hold to resolution: if the event happens, you get $1 back per share ($0.38 profit). If it doesn't, you get $0 (lose your $0.62). Buy No at $0.38 and it flips.
It's an exchange, not a sportsbook
Every trade on Kalshi matches you against another trader, not against the house. If you buy Yes at $0.62, somebody else is selling Yes to you at that price (equivalently, buying No at $0.38). Kalshi runs the order book and settles the contracts — it doesn't take a directional position.
The practical difference vs a sportsbook: there's no vig baked into the line. A -110 sportsbook line costs you about 4.5% just to enter. On Kalshi, you pay a transparent per-contract fee (typically well under 1% at retail size) and get the mid-market price.
Selling before resolution
You don't have to wait for the event. If you bought Yes at $0.30 and the price runs to $0.70, you can sell into the order book for a $0.40-per-share profit right now. This is the biggest structural difference from a traditional bet — Kalshi is a real market with real live prices you can exit at any time.
How Kalshi handles fees, payouts, and taxes
- Fees: Scaled per-trade fee shown on the ticket before you confirm — peaks around 0.7% one-way.
- Payouts: Automatic on resolution. Winners get $1 per share; losers get $0. Cash lands in your USD balance instantly.
- Withdrawals: Free ACH to your linked US bank, 1–3 business days.
- Taxes: Kalshi issues a 1099 in January. Texans owe federal only — no state income tax, no state gambling tax.
What Kalshi markets cover
Anything a regulator will let them list: NFL, NBA, MLB, and NCAA games; presidential and Senate races (post their 2024 court win); CPI and Fed rate decisions; hurricane landfalls and daily temperatures; Oscars; and hundreds more. See our weather, politics, and sports guides for live examples.
Legal for Texans 21+, CFTC-regulated, USD-settled. See the full 5-minute walkthrough in our Texas how-to.
More: Fees explained · How to withdraw · Taxes (Texas)
