Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
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Texas politics · Open seat

Texas Comptroller 2026: open-seat odds

The most powerful open executive seat in Texas since 2014. Candidates, primary calculus, and how to trade it.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Written by
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Fact-checkedUpdated

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence editorial rankings, market selection, or analysis.

Glenn Hegar's move to the UT System chancellorship leaves the Texas Comptroller of Public Accounts open for the first time since 2014. The comptroller runs the state's Biennial Revenue Estimate, tax collection, and the $28B Rainy Day Fund — arguably the second-most powerful executive job in Texas.

Who is running?

Republican side. The field so far includes former state senator Don Huffines (Dallas) and Railroad Commissioner Christi Craddick (Midland). Both are well-funded, both have statewide name ID from prior campaigns. Additional candidates are expected before the December 2025 filing deadline.

Democratic side. No first-tier candidate has filed as of mid-2026. Texas Democrats have not won a statewide race since 1994; the primary here is effectively the general.

Why the Comptroller job matters

  • Certifies the biennial budget — no bill spends money the comptroller says isn't there.
  • Administers the sales tax, franchise tax, and every non-property tax.
  • Manages the Economic Stabilization Fund (~$28B in FY2026).
  • Publishes the state's official revenue and economic forecasts.

How to trade it

Down-ballot Texas statewide races typically list on Polymarket as sub-markets inside a "Texas 2026 statewide winners" event, and on Kalshi as individual contract series closer to the March primary. Liquidity is thin until January; if you want a position early, expect wide spreads.

Polymarket

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Kalshi

CFTC-regulated USD contracts. Cleanest tax treatment for Texans.

More Texas 2026: Texas Primary 2026 · Senate 2026 odds · Governor 2026 odds

Sources & references

Pick your venue

The three legal prediction platforms Texans actually use. Full comparison →

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contracts

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Polymarket

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Crypto.com

Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM

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Frequently asked questions

The seat is open after Glenn Hegar's move to the University of Texas System chancellorship. Republican candidates include former state senator Don Huffines and Railroad Commissioner Christi Craddick. Democrats have not fielded a competitive candidate as of mid-2026.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years working with online gambling across some of the most regulated and competitive markets in the world.

Starting at Betsson Group in Malta in 2011, she moved through VIP management, CRM, gamification and marketing leadership across European and North American operations. Catie was a licensed consultancy for Hard Rock Casino in New Jersey, where she held a DGE vendor license and owned the online CRM program from launch day in 2018.

  • 15 years in regulated online gambling
  • Held a New Jersey DGE vendor license
  • Launched Hard Rock NJ online CRM program (2018)
  • Speaker/moderator across NA, EU & Africa
  • Native-level Spanish speaker, based in Spain
  • Founder, Campaign Discovery System (2026)
Read full bio →