Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Polls close at 7pm CT on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. Precinct-level Texas results post live to the Secretary of State's portal within minutes. Most statewide races call by 10pm CT — but the interesting money is in the races that don't.
TL;DR:
🕖 Polls close 7pm CT, Nov 3, 2026
📊 Official results: results.texas-election.com
💰 Trade election night on Kalshi (USD, CFTC) or Polymarket (USD, CFTC)
🎯 Prediction markets called Texas Senate 2024 within 2 points of final
Where to watch results live
Texas Secretary of State — official statewide returns, updated every 5 minutes.
AP, Decision Desk HQ, NBC, Fox — race calls that resolve Kalshi and Polymarket contracts.
Competitive US House — TX-15, TX-28, TX-34 are historically tightest.
How accurate are prediction markets on Texas?
Across 2020, 2022, and 2024, Kalshi and Polymarket priced Texas statewide winners within 2–3 points of the final margin. On the 2024 Cruz–Allred Senate race, Polymarket had Cruz at 92% by 6am on election morning; he won by 8.6 points, essentially the poll-of-polls consensus. The markets missed harder on the popular-vote margin in the 2022 Governor race (they had Abbott +9 vs a final of +11), but the winner call was never in doubt.
What that means for trading: the alpha is in the low-attention races — Comptroller, Railroad Commission, and competitive US House districts — where markets are thin and public polling is scarce.
Trade election night
Polymarket
Deepest liquidity on statewide and presidential contracts. CFTC-regulated app.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Last checked October 21, 2026
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated USD contracts. Dollar-denominated, with a downloadable P&L statement for your records.
When will Texas election results be posted in 2026?
Polls close at 7pm CT on Tuesday, November 3, 2026. The Texas Secretary of State posts precinct-level results in real time at results.texas-election.com. Most statewide races are called by 10pm CT; close races can extend to the next morning.
How accurate are prediction markets on Texas races?
Polymarket and Kalshi consistently priced Texas statewide races within 2–3 percentage points of the final result in 2020, 2022, and 2024. On the 2024 Senate race (Cruz vs Allred), Polymarket had Cruz at 92% on election morning; he won by 8.6 points.
Can I trade election-night results on Kalshi or Polymarket?
Yes, up until each race's individual close. Both platforms typically halt trading on a specific contract once media desks call the race, then resolve within 24–72 hours based on certified results.
What Texas races should I watch on election night 2026?
US Senate (Cornyn's seat), Governor (Abbott), Attorney General (open), Comptroller (open), and any competitive US House districts — TX-15, TX-28, and TX-34 are historically the tightest.
Where do I check official Texas election results?
The Texas Secretary of State posts official returns at sos.state.tx.us and results.texas-election.com. County clerks post local precinct data. Never rely on partial or unofficial numbers to settle bets — Kalshi and Polymarket wait for AP/major-network calls.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
The Spurs open October 20 against the Thunder, the Rockets host the Mavericks October 21 and the Rockets play the Spurs in Austin October 23. Opening week, key dates and how Texas NBA contracts work.
