Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
Cowboys make playoffs62¢|
Texas: above-avg hurricane season71¢|
TX Senate flips 202618¢|
Astros win AL West44¢|
Austin hits 110°F in July55¢|
Fed cuts rates by year-end67¢|
Mavs reach NBA Finals12¢|
Houston rainfall > avg58¢|
NFL MVP: TX-born QB33¢|
Texans win AFC South41¢|
21+ only · Trade responsiblyCFTC-regulated venuesEvent contracts — not gambling
Direct answer · Texas politics

Is Ted Cruz up for reelection in 2026?

Short answer: no. Cruz won re-election in 2024 and is not on the ballot again until 2030. Here's the seat that IS up — and how to trade it.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Written by
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief
Fact-checkedUpdated

Affiliate disclosure: we may earn a commission if you sign up via links on this page. Commissions do not influence editorial rankings, market selection, or analysis.

No — Ted Cruz is not up for reelection in 2026. Cruz won his third term in November 2024, defeating Democrat Colin Allred. His current six-year term began in January 2025 and runs through January 2031, which means he next faces voters in November 2030.

Which Texas Senate seat IS up in 2026?

The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate seat is held by Senator John Cornyn, the four-term Republican who is seeking a fifth term. Cornyn faces the most serious primary challenge of his career from Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, who Polymarket prices as the favorite to win the seat outright. Full live odds and breakdown: Texas Senate 2026 odds.

Why people search this

Texas has two U.S. Senate seats and the cycles are staggered, so it is easy to lose track of which seat is up when. The Cruz seat (Class I) is up in 2030. The Cornyn seat (Class II) is up in 2026. The Texas governor race is also on the 2026 ballot — see Texas Governor 2026 odds.

Trade the 2026 Texas Senate race

Two legal venues for Texans — both CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, not state-licensed sportsbooks. See are prediction markets legal in Texas? for the legal framework.

Polymarket

Deepest 2026 Texas Senate market by volume. Tight spreads on Paxton, Cornyn, and the Democratic line.

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated US DCM with a cleaner regulatory story for Texans new to event contracts.

Sources & references

More: Texas Senate 2026 odds · Texas Governor 2026 odds · All political markets →

Pick your venue

The three legal prediction platforms Texans actually use. Full comparison →

Kalshi

CFTC-regulated event contracts

  • CFTC-regulated (USA)
  • Available in Texas
  • Best for: Sports, weather, politics, economics
Polymarket

Largest global prediction market

  • QCX LLC (CFTC-regulated exchange)
  • Returning to US markets — check eligibility
  • Best for: Deep liquidity, politics & culture
Crypto.com

Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM

  • CFTC-regulated DCM (via Crypto.com Derivatives North America)
  • Available in Texas
  • Best for: Sports event contracts, mobile-first UX

Frequently asked questions

No. Senator Ted Cruz won re-election in November 2024 and his current term runs through January 2031. He is not on the ballot in 2026. The Texas U.S. Senate seat on the 2026 ballot belongs to Republican Senator John Cornyn, who is seeking a fifth term.

Catie Di Stefano — Founder & Editor-in-Chief
About the author
Catie Di Stefano
Founder & Editor-in-Chief

Catie Di Stefano has spent 15 years working with online gambling across some of the most regulated and competitive markets in the world.

Starting at Betsson Group in Malta in 2011, she moved through VIP management, CRM, gamification and marketing leadership across European and North American operations. Catie was a licensed consultancy for Hard Rock Casino in New Jersey, where she held a DGE vendor license and owned the online CRM program from launch day in 2018.

  • 15 years in regulated online gambling
  • Held a New Jersey DGE vendor license
  • Launched Hard Rock NJ online CRM program (2018)
  • Speaker/moderator across NA, EU & Africa
  • Native-level Spanish speaker, based in Spain
  • Founder, Campaign Discovery System (2026)
Read full bio →