No. Ted Cruz is not up for reelection in 2026. He won his third Senate term in November 2024, defeating Colin Allred, and that term runs to January 2031, so he next faces voters in November 2030. The Texas Senate seat on the November 3, 2026 ballot is John Cornyn's: Ken Paxton faces James Talarico. Last checked October 14, 2026.
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No — Ted Cruz is not up for reelection in 2026. Cruz won his third term in November 2024, defeating Democrat Colin Allred. His current six-year term began in January 2025 and runs through January 2031, which means he next faces voters in November 2030.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Which Texas Senate seat IS up in 2026?
The 2026 Texas U.S. Senate seat is held by Senator John Cornyn, who lost the May 26, 2026 Republican runoff to Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. Paxton faces Democrat James Talarico in the general election on November 3, 2026. Full live odds and breakdown:
Texas Senate 2026 odds.
Why people search this
Texas has two U.S. Senate seats and the cycles are staggered, so it is easy to lose track of which seat is up when. The Cruz seat (Class I) is up in 2030. The Cornyn seat (Class II) is up in 2026. The Texas governor race is also on the 2026 ballot — see
Texas Governor 2026 odds.
Trade the 2026 Texas Senate race
Two legal venues for Texans — both CFTC-regulated event-contract exchanges, not state-licensed sportsbooks. See
are prediction markets legal in Texas?
for the legal framework.
Polymarket
Deepest 2026 Texas Senate market by volume. Tight spreads on Paxton and Talarico.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Last checked October 21, 2026
Kalshi
CFTC-regulated US DCM with a cleaner regulatory story for Texans new to event contracts.
No. Senator Ted Cruz won re-election in November 2024 and his current term runs through January 2031. He is not on the ballot in 2026. The Texas U.S. Senate seat on the 2026 ballot is John Cornyn's: Ken Paxton, who beat Cornyn in the May 26, 2026 Republican runoff, faces Democrat James Talarico on November 3, 2026.
When is Ted Cruz up for reelection again?
Ted Cruz next faces voters in November 2030. His current six-year term began in January 2025 after he defeated Democrat Colin Allred in 2024.
Who is running for the Texas Senate seat in 2026?
Republican Ken Paxton, who beat Senator John Cornyn in the May 26, 2026 runoff, faces Democrat James Talarico on November 3, 2026. Live odds are on our Texas Senate 2026 odds page.
Can I bet on Ted Cruz's next election?
Once contracts open closer to 2030, Kalshi and Polymarket will list event contracts on the seat. For now, the active Texas Senate market is the 2026 Paxton–Talarico race — tradeable today on Polymarket and Kalshi as CFTC-regulated event contracts available to Texas residents (minimum age 18 on both; we recommend 21+).
What is Ted Cruz's approval rating in Texas?
Recent statewide Texas polling has put Cruz's approval in the mid-to-low 40s with disapproval in the mid-40s — a typical split for a polarizing two-term incumbent. Prediction markets priced his 2024 re-election at 80%+ heading into election day and resolved YES.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
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