TEXAS PRIMARY 2026: DATES, BALLOT & LIVE ODDS
Everything on the March 3 ballot, live Kalshi and Polymarket prices for the marquee races, and how Texans can trade them legally.
Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place: legality, fees, taxes, sign-up bonuses, election odds, and weather markets for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.
Everything on the March 3 ballot, live Kalshi and Polymarket prices for the marquee races, and how Texans can trade them legally.
Free bank and debit-card withdrawals, how long each takes, and what can hold up your first one.
A CFTC-regulated exchange for Yes/No contracts on real-world events. You trade against other users, not a house.
Yes. Robinhood routes event contracts through ForecastEx, a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market — federally legal for Texans 21+.
Sports event contracts on a CFTC-registered exchange, funded in dollars. No Texas state tax, and no IRS guidance yet on how these contracts are classified.
Deposit $10, get a $25 trading bonus on the Polymarket US app. Here's exactly how to claim it from Texas, and what the terms actually say.
Kalshi's current welcome offer: trade $25 in event contracts as a new user and Kalshi credits you $25. Here's exactly how Texans claim it.
A small per-contract commission on a CFTC-regulated sports DCM — plus what you actually pay to deposit and withdraw.
Texas charges no state income tax, so Polymarket profits are a federal-only question. Here's what to report — and what to keep.
Texas has no state income tax, so your Kalshi tax question is federal only. The catch: the IRS hasn't said how event contracts should be classified.
What real money is paying for Dallas and Houston to lift the Lombardi — updated from live Kalshi and Polymarket prices.
What a heat dome is, how the summer 2026 one played out, and how to track Texas heat through Kalshi and Polymarket temperature contracts for Austin, Houston, Dallas, and San Antonio.