Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place

Every Texas prediction-market guide in one place: legality, fees, taxes, sign-up bonuses, election odds, and weather markets for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com.

Updated

Guides

HOW TO USE OG BY CRYPTO.COM FROM TEXAS

Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM — legal for Texans 21+. Sign up, fund with ACH, place your first trade in under 10 minutes.

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Guides

HOW TO USE POLYMARKET FROM TEXAS

From zero to your first trade in about 10 minutes: sign-up, a $10 deposit for the $25 bonus, and Texas-specific notes.

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HOW TO USE KALSHI FROM TEXAS

From zero to your first trade in under 10 minutes. Texas-specific notes on KYC, banking, and legal status included.

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KALSHI FEES, ACTUALLY EXPLAINED

Kalshi charges a scaled per-trade fee — highest near 50¢, near zero at the edges. No monthly fee. Free ACH. Here's exactly what you pay.

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Guides

2026 OSCARS ODDS

The 98th Academy Awards are March 15, 2026. Polymarket and Kalshi both list live contracts on every major category. Here's how to read them and trade them from Texas.

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Is Ted Cruz Up for Reelection in 2026?

No. Ted Cruz is not up for reelection in 2026. He won his third Senate term in November 2024, defeating Colin Allred, and that term runs to January 2031, so he next faces voters in November 2030. The Texas Senate seat on the November 3, 2026 ballot is John Cornyn's: Ken Paxton faces James Talarico. Last checked October 14, 2026.

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Guides

2026 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON TEXAS

What NOAA expects, what Kalshi is pricing, and how Texas Gulf Coast residents and businesses can use prediction markets as a real hedge.

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TRADE TEXAS WEATHER

Polymarket's daily Austin and Houston temperature markets quietly move $30K–$150K per day. Kalshi lists CFTC-regulated hurricane and grid contracts. Here's the full Texas weather-trading playbook.

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Guides

Texas Senate race 2026: Paxton vs Talarico

A voter-first guide to the Texas US Senate race: who is on the official ballot, the key voting dates, the latest public polls and how election contracts settle.

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Guides

WILL TEXAS SECEDE?

The longest-running joke market on Polymarket — and the real money behind it. Live TEXIT odds, legal reality, and how to trade the most iconic Texas contract on the internet.

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