Trade thefuture of Texas.
The independent Texan's guide to prediction markets. Sports, politics, weather, and more — on Kalshi, Polymarket, and Crypto.com. Real money, real markets, fully legal.
Get started in 3 steps
No sportsbook. No VPN. Legal for Texans 21+ under CFTC oversight — most traders are live inside 10 minutes.
Sign up in 60 seconds
Email, phone, and SSN for KYC. Kalshi and Polymarket both accept Texans 21+ with a valid ID.
Fund with a Texas bank
ACH from any US bank on Kalshi (free, instant). USDC from a crypto wallet or debit card on Polymarket.
Trade Yes / No shares
Every contract prices between $0.01 and $0.99. Winning shares pay $1. No sportsbook vig — you trade against other users.
CFTC-regulated, USD deposits, 1099 at year-end. Full walkthrough
Featured Texas markets
Sample of the most-traded contracts relevant to Texans this season.
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2026-27 playoffs?
Will a named storm make landfall in Texas in 2026?
Will Greg Abbott win the Nov 3, 2026 election?
Will Texas hit 110°F anywhere in August 2026?
Will the Houston Astros win the AL West in 2026?
Will the GOP hold the Texas Senate seat in 2026?
Sample markets shown for illustration. Live prices and volumes are at the linked exchanges.
Pick your venue
The three legal prediction platforms Texans actually use. Full comparison →
Largest prediction market — $50 welcome bonus
- Polymarket Clearing (CFTC-regulated exchange)
- Available in Texas — iOS app
- Best for: Deep liquidity, sports, politics & culture
Your sports prediction market — trade $10, get $20
- CFTC-licensed DCM & DCO
- Available nationwide, including Texas
- Best for: Sports-only trading, no-vig peer-to-peer pricing
CFTC-regulated event contracts — trade $25, get $25
- CFTC-regulated (USA)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports, weather, politics, economics
Sports event contracts on a CFTC-regulated DCM
- CFTC-regulated DCM (via Crypto.com Derivatives North America)
- Available in Texas
- Best for: Sports event contracts, mobile-first UX
Grab a bonus while you're here
Independently verified against each platform's terms. Always read the fine print before opting in.
Deposit $10, get $50
Code TXPREDICTS on the Polymarket US iOS app — the biggest welcome offer available to Texans.
OG by Crypto.com sign-up bonus
First-deposit match on the CFTC-regulated Sports app. Wagering rules apply.
Trade $25 and get $25
New Kalshi users only — code TXPREDICTS. Trade $25 in event contracts and Kalshi credits you $25.
We may earn a commission if you sign up through these links — it never changes the offer you receive.
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Certain limitations apply. The offer is available to new users only, subject to the terms and conditions at kalshi.com/tc/500. 18+ only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Event contract trading involves significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. Please carefully consider if it is appropriate for you in light of your personal financial circumstances. Kalshi products are not available in all jurisdictions. See kalshi.com/regulatory for more information.
Browse markets
Texas-relevant prediction markets across every category.
Frequently asked questions
Yes. CFTC-regulated event contract exchanges like Kalshi, Polymarket (via its US entity QCX), and Crypto.com Sports are legally available to Texas residents 21+. All three operate as federal derivatives products, not state-licensed sportsbooks. Traditional sports betting on bookmakers like FanDuel and DraftKings remains illegal in Texas as of 2026.